tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-171573732024-03-07T18:48:33.765-08:00THE ARMCHAIR QUARTERBACKThe Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.comBlogger305125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-35489935133384546342014-09-03T23:28:00.003-07:002014-09-03T23:29:20.449-07:00NFL Predictions 2014 Week 1 Ahhhh. The smell of football is in the air and I'm salivating. My wife is less pleased.<br />
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<u><b>Season Predictions (a hopeless exercise in futility).</b></u><br />
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<b>NFC East = Eagles. </b><br />
Could the Cowboys, Redskins, or Giants be good? Maybe. I'm betting on Philly again.<br />
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<b>NFC West = </b>Seahawks<br />
Maybe the Cardinals and 49ers could unseat them but some luck and better play offensively would help.<br />
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<b>NFC North = Chicago Bears. </b><br />
I like what the bears have in the kitchen. I'm just not sure Cutler is the right chef. Too many cooking metaphors? I think so.<br />
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<b>NFC South</b> <b>= Saints</b><br />
This pick is dependent on continued improvement of their defense. No lock obviously.<br />
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<b>AFC East</b> <b>= Patriots </b><br />
The Pats are always good but once again get the benefit of the cupcake division. No contest for this division. And less respect for the Patriots as a result. It's not their fault obviously, you play the hand dealt. They've just been getting dealt a full house for the past decade and I get tired of t<br />
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<b>AFC North = Ravens</b><br />
Maybe a resurgent year for them. Flacco needs it to save his reputation.<br />
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<b>AFC South =Colts</b><br />
Too easy I know.<br />
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<b>AFC West</b> <b>=Broncos</b><br />
Is it possible to go against the Broncos in this division? Not unless Manning goes down.<br />
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<b>1st week, First Game</b><br />
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<b>Seahawks over the Packers.</b><br />
Can't get the SuperBowl out of my head. They were the best team last year hands down. I'm not a huge fan though but Pete Carroll has built a winner. <br />
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<br />The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-11000807022517226862014-01-22T22:53:00.001-08:002014-01-22T22:54:58.548-08:00Super Bowl Preview: Broncos vs. SeahawksFirst of all, I picked the Seahawks in the preseason to win the Super Bowl so I'm not backing off that now. Of course I was way off with my preseason pick in the AFC. The Steelers were a decent team but never became a championship threat this year. The Broncos on the other hand have been steady all year. <span style="background-color: yellow;">W</span>hat a game this could turn out to be! We have a team known for outstanding defense <u>and</u> we have the most prolific offense in the history of the game. I'm may pee on myself I'm so excited for this game. Too much information. Awkward . ....Anyhoo, I've got some thoughts on the game, the teams, and the players. Let's begin:<br />
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1. Richard Sherman is ubiquitous these days and that is both a good and bad thing for him and his team. If he plays well against Manning and the Seahawks go on to win, he will be well on his way to legendary defensive player status that can self perpetuate beyond the days when you are actually earning that status. Having legendary status is hard to shed. You really have to screw up and and become so terrible that it's impossible to not notice. And let me be clear, I don't think his skills will be diminishing anytime soon. He's achieved defensive superstardom that is incredibly hard to accomplish. That side of the ball just doesn't create as many stars as the other side does (mainly because defensive players don't produce as easily quantifiable and intuitive statistics--- and because quite frankly most of us don't really understand defense). He tends to play well with a chip on his shoulder and with the current backlash against him he will no doubt use that as fuel. Thus, the team also benefits from all things Richard Sherman right now. On the other hand, I've seen almost no coverage in the past couple of days of the actual game the Seahawks played get to the Super Bowl. The national discussion right now includes relatively little attention given to the rest of their defense (let alone the offense, good or bad) and you can't tell me that all the Seahawk players and coaches are pleased with the way Sherman made it all about him in the aftermath of the victory. To wake up the the day after the conference championship and see all the Seahawk coverage was about one man had to rub some of those guys wrong. For Sherman himself, his antics have led to a twisted look at the best corner in the game. He gets called a thug and classless. Being classy on and off the field to many Americans is about respecting (in your words and actions) both the people that deserve that respect and sometimes people that probably don't deserve it. I agree with Sherman that the term "thug" is in many ways racist in the way it is used and with whom it is used. You don't see a cocky, angry, and mouthy white guy get called a thug generally, ...just the angry egotistical black guys get that label... from mostly white folks by the way. But if Sherman thinks it's all about race he's dead wrong. Racist white people will always hate someone like him, but it's the colorblind people, of which there are a lot in all races, that he's also lost the respect of. Sherman is in fact an intelligent guy (on the field with his play and in many areas off the field) and he is most likely a complex and interesting personality. But here's where he's dumb. He doesn't understand that by creating an over the top trashing talking caricature of himself (a rather uninteresting one that's all mouth and no class) nobody gets to see the intelligent and "real" Richard Sherman. He's painting himself as the victim in that regard. But that's on him, not us. Richard, you <u><i>are</i></u> the best cornerback in the league. We see it. You don't need to tell us. We'll tell you. Believe us, it will come. We drooled over Darelle Revis and the compliments flowed towards him without hardly a peep out of his mouth. But it doesn't need to be silence either. It's the tone, it's what you say and when you say it. Control your anger and your ego. Add some class to the way you present yourself. It won't take away from your game as you claim it will. You won't lose your edge. That you somehow need to act like an ass to play better is the stupidest argument I've ever heard. </div>
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I want to like this guy. I wish he would let me. </div>
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2. Last night I took a detailed look at every playoff game Manning has played in his playoff career. He's won not quite 50% of his post-season games. It's a mixed bag for sure. He's had horrible one and done exit games (8 in fact). He's had team success while personally struggling (as he did in games leading up to the 2007 Super Bowl). He's had great games personally where bad defenses have doomed his team's chances. This year he's played very well and the defense has been up to snuff so far. I'm skeptical of those two things aligning again in the Super Bowl ......but I sure hope they do. I'm picking the Seahawks to win but a Bronco victory would be be pleasant surprise. Manning is the reverse Richard Sherman. He's hard not to like. I'll be rooting for him once again. </div>
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3. I think Bobby Wagner may have a huge game. He's a smart and athletic linebacker for Seattle and those type of guys can give Manning trouble. Seattle has the ability to put pressure on the QB because they can leave their corners isolated without as much linebacker and safety help. When Manning struggles it's because he's pressured and his receivers are getting beat up and jammed. Seattle can do both of those things and do them well. </div>
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4. One note on the vanquished Patriot squad. They're good but something's missing. New England has been arrogant and spoiled for awhile now. Brady has been so good for so long that they have been seduced by regular season success. They play in a cake division year in and year out and their early SuperBowl wins with mediocre receivers have blinded them to the importance of great players catching Brady's passes and running behind him. They did get Randy Moss for a short time and look what they did with that! Brady had a couple of the best offensive years he's ever had. It took a miracle NY David Tyree helmet catch to beat them in the Super Bowl against the Giants. That New England team is still probably one of the best teams ever in NFL history. And they lost. ....And having given that compliment I'm going to excuse myself to purge my dinner right now (Patriot hate is hard to shake). I know the Pats have an all-world tight end. Gronkowski is awesome when he's running down the field. But he's one guy and as we see if one guy goes down you need awesome guy # 2 to step up. That would be crickets you're hearing right now because no one is there for the Pats. Outside guys with skills are something Brady has rarely had in his career and it's almost criminal to waste his talent the way Belichick has. Most of the receivers and running backs for the past decade in New England are utterly forgettable. I'm not complaining (Patriot hate reiterated), just noting the obvious.<br />
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5. Back to the folks that made it to the big game. I see a Seahawk victory with Russell Wilson playing very well. I have a feeling he'll be making headlines. He's been average for a month or more now but we've seen the talent and the skills. When he goes into his Fran Tarkenton mode it's mesmerizing to watch. It's like he has eyes in the back of his head. Lynch is great too but I really think there will be a couple of plays in the passing game from Wilson that will seal things.<br />
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----Super Bowls used to be boring. Blowouts. Then we went on a run of great games. Let's hope we continue the trend. I'm like an ADHD middle school girl on the night before a shopping spree at the mall. I can't wait for this game. </div>
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The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-71405931232783593232013-09-22T00:55:00.001-07:002013-09-22T00:55:24.036-07:00NFL Picks 2013: Week 3<b>Eagles over the Chiefs</b><br />
-Got this one wrong. I know Vick is vulnerable physically when he runs but I actually thought he should have run more Thursday night. The strong armed QB can throw a beautiful ball but more often than not he just doesn't have an accurate touch. On the other side, Alex Smith is what everyone says he is: a game manager. You can win games that way and occasionally if your defense is great enough you can even win a Super Bowl (Trent Dilfer). I don't think that the Chiefs are heading that way but after having only one winning season in the last five years. 9-7, 10-6, or even 8-8 will probably feel pretty good.<br />
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<b>Packers over the Bengals</b><br />
This will be a tough one. The Bengals are a good team and I"m still not sure how good the Packer defense is.<br />
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<b>Cowboys over the Rams</b><br />
The Rams should find a way to get the ball to Tavon Austin. Watch his college <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T3_UNFZHSQU">Youtube highlights.</a> Give him a little space and he's ridiculous. Unfortunately for the Rams, Dallas has their own freak in Dez Bryant.<br /><br />
<b>Titans over the Chargers</b><br />
If the Titans can put pressure on Rivers, he and the Chargers are toast. Rivers moves like his feet are in cement.<br />
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<b>Vikings over the Browns</b><br />
A tanking Browns team is just what the doctored ordered for Minnesota. The Vikings struggle to pass and this year they'll struggle to run it. That's relative of course, they're used to Peterson running wild but there's no way he's getting 2,000 yards this year. In fact he may not get to 1500 yards. He's still the best back in the game, but as teams continue to stack the box yards will be tough to come by unless Ponder can make plays in the passing game.<br />
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<b>Patriots over the Bucs</b><br />
I'm interested to see if Revis and the Bucs secondary can limit Brady's passing. His own receivers have been doing a pretty good job of that lately.<br />
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<b>Saints over the Cardinals. </b><br />
Brees is at times a little too greedy down field but it's hard to argue with his decision making when he just keeps moving that Saints offense with precision.<br />
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<b>Redskins over the Lions</b><br />
The pass rush of Detroit will force Griffin outside of the pocket and he'll do some damage that way.<br />
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<b>Giants over the Panthers</b><br />
Inconsistency meets it's match.<br />
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<b>Texans over the Ravens</b><br />
I'm just not sure Flacco has enough weapons anymore.<br />
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<b>Falcons over the Dolphins</b><br />
Miami is tougher than I thought. That should keep the game interesting.<br />
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<b>Bills over the Jets</b><br />
Wouldn't it be cool if E.J. Manuel turns out to be good. We actually won't know that for a bit though. I mean remember when we thought Mark Sanchez was a good QB?<br />
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<b>49ers over the Colts</b><br />
The Richardson deal is the story of the season so far but the excitement in Indy will fade quickly if it turns out Cleveland let him go for a reason.<br />
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<b>Seahawks over the Jags</b><br />
Who would have thunk it? The Seahawks elite. It's early but they sure look like a top 3 team in the league.<br />
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<b>Bears over the Steelers</b><br />
I'm wanting my Pittsburgh Super Bowl pick back now. The Steelers look terrible and old.<br />
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<b>Manning (I mean the Broncos) over the Raiders</b><br />
Keeping Manning upright will be a challenge without Clady protecting his blindside. If I was Oakland I'd send the kitchen sink.<br />
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<br />The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-56645223313281404232013-09-06T14:18:00.002-07:002013-09-06T14:19:28.808-07:00NFL 2013 Picks: Week 1<br />
<b>Broncos over the Ravens</b><br />
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I didn't see 7 touchdowns, but I did think Manning might come out strong. </div>
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<b>Patriots over the Bills</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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Please. It's over already.</div>
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<b>Bengals over the Bears</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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Intriguing game. The Bears have talent, as do the Bengals. Can either offense be consistent against a good defense? This may be low scoring.</div>
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<b>Browns over the Dolphins</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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When the only reason to tune in at all is because you have a fantasy player (Trent Richardson for me)-- you know you've been bad for awhile. Congrats Cleveland and Miami, I'm nominating you for least interesting game of the week. </div>
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<b>Saints over the Falcons</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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Maybe the most interesting game here. Rivals, Old king of the hood against new king of the hood. </div>
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<b>Bucs over the Jets</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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Almost mirrors the Cleveland game in interest, except the Bucs have some players that might be fun to watch --or at least see if they will finally emerge (ehem..Josh Fremman). Doug Martin and Revis are worth keeping an eye on in this one. </div>
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<b>Steelers over the Titans</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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It seems like the Steelers have hung around for a few years without really getting bad or great. It's time to make a decision here guys. I think they'll be good and challenge for the Super Bowl but a precipitous decline wouldn't surprise me either. </div>
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<b>Lions over the Vikings</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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I'm excited to see what Reggie Bush can do with the Lions. He won't rival number 28 on the purple side,... but then who can? Peterson wants not just 2,000 yards this year but 2,500 yards. He's the best but I don't think another 2K is in the cards this season. </div>
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<b>Colts over the Raiders<o:p></o:p></b></div>
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Luck will be in a shorter passing scheme this year. How will that look? Probably boring but maybe that will be better for him in terms of cutting down interceptions. His Stanford days were efficient in a similar system but I thought it was a snoozefest at times. If they want the power running game to fly can they do it with their two unknown and unproven running back? I'm doubtful. </div>
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<b>Seahawks over the Panthers</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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I predict some read option here. Mind blowing the powers I can marshall at times --isn't it?</div>
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<b>Chiefs over the Jags</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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Alex Smith will check down a few times but Andy Reid should be good for him. The guy was pretty damn good last year before he lost the job to Kapernick. Anything's better than what has been passing for QB in K.C. </div>
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<b>Rams over the Cardinals</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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Tavon Austin ....please breath life into Sam Bradford for the sake of an old Ram fan-- who often forgets he was a Ram fan. It may be difficult but I've watched your highlights and I believe. Or at least I want to. </div>
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<b>49ers over the Packers</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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This game on paper looks awesome. </div>
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<b>Giants over the Cowboys</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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Traditional rivalries. I like this for an opening salvo. The Cowboys may surprise us and Jerry Jones will certainly continue to creep us out. Good times. </div>
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<b>Redskins over the Eagles</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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This game is in my top 3 most anticipated of the week. RGIII against a Chip Kelly offense led by Vick. Bring it on!</div>
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<b>Texans over the Chargers</b><o:p></o:p></div>
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I'm most interested to see if J.J. Watt can continue to dominate. </div>
The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-11997923158787879432013-09-03T14:59:00.001-07:002013-09-03T15:01:41.807-07:00NFL 2013 PredictionsAttempting to forecast the NFL is a bit like trying to predict the behavior of Miley Crus. In short it can be ugly and crazy. By the way, I found it interesting that sports fans and Miley share a love for the iconic # 1 foam fingers. Different uses...but still. Anyway, the NFL never fails to surprise as I'm sure there will be both teams that step up and those that disappoint this year. However, I do think that barring injury to their QBs there a few teams that are near locks to make the playoffs.<br />
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<li> Aaron Rodger's Packers have only failed to make the playoffs once with him at the helm (his first year starting). Maybe they're due for a down year, but I doubt it. </li>
<li>The Pats with the golden boy are in again by a mile. Tom Brady is more responsible for the last decade of Patriot success than Bill Belichick. I'm not saying Belichick wouldn't have won in New England but I feel fairly confident in saying that he wouldn't still be there today without the Hall of Famer at QB. He doesn't have the personality to weather the lean years. A couple of down years (a certainty with a mediocre QB) and the combination of surliness and non-cooperative attitude would have gotten him fired for sure. </li>
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Here's who I'm picking for Division winners.</div>
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<b>AFC East: Patriot</b>s...they play with the Bills, Dolphins, & Jets.(sigh). Next to the fact that the Patriots are a very well run organization (from owner to coach...to probably the janitors), you can't underestimate the significance of playing against cupcakes in your division for a decade. Think about that. How would it be to totally discount your entire division year in and year out when you evaluate potential obstacles for a Super Bowl run. It's probably the most overlooked aspect of Patriot success during the Belichick era. </div>
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<b>AFC North: Bengals. </b>Maybe too trendy here. The Steelers and Ravens are sure to contend too. Andy Dalton has to progress this year for it to happen but he's got a receiver in A.J. Green that rivals Calvin Johnson in talent. And I really liked the Cincy defense last year. They more than anything carried the team down the stretch and into the playoffs. </div>
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<b>AFC South: Colts.</b> I want to say the Texans but the potential of Andrew Luck is tantalizing.</div>
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<b>AFC West: Broncos.</b> Maning, if healthy is the difference between the Broncos making the playoffs or not. His 2012 season, especially after sitting a year, is in my opinion one of the most incredible QB seasons of all time. And that's saying something considering what we're seeing at the position now.</div>
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<b>NFC East: Giants. </b>What crap shoot. This division has the potential to be the best in the league. A Chip Kelly Eagle offense is something that is a must see for me early in the season. The Redskin's Griffin III could be both better and worse at the same time if he limits his running. Dallas is always hanging around (for better or worse). But overall NY seems to me like they may get back on top this year. </div>
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<b>NFC North: Packers.</b> Detroit, Chicago & Minnesota have potential to win this thing but I see more question marks in terms of inconsistency with all of them compared to Green Bay.</div>
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<b>NFC South: Saint</b>s. Rebound year. I may be crazy since the Falcons are on paper the better team (and by better team I mean they actually have a defense). But who knows, maybe Sean Payton really is that valuable. </div>
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<b>NFC West: 49ers</b>. Should be a battle between the 49ers and Hawks. Too bad Harbough and Caroll can't engage in single combat for division supremacy ......(for you Game of Thrones nerds). </div>
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<b>Super Bowl: </b>I would have never picked the Ravens last year so I figure my pick is as good or bad as anyone else's pick (please don't tell me you saw Joe Flacco's 2012 brillance in the playoff coming....I won't believe you if you do). I would love to see the Rams seriously compete (doubtful with the brutal division they are in) and I wouldn't mind seeing the Broncos, Colts, Saints or Packers win it all, but I'll say it will be a battle of wildcards, the <b>Seahawks over the Steelers.</b></div>
The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-79452623680041816912013-08-07T21:09:00.002-07:002013-08-07T21:09:39.987-07:00NFL 2013 AnticipationWhich NFL player or players will give us a truly amazing season in 2013? We've seen crazy numbers and historic seasons in recent years. In this run of history there have been great defensive players emerge to be sure, but offensive players will continue to rule the league as the NFL gives us hurry up offenses, mobile QBs, and new rules emphasizing safety and less physicality by defensive backs. I'm salivating just thinking about the possibilities this season. We're seeing a large number of Hall of Famers in their prime! They'll be talking about these guys for decades to come. and some will be in the argument for "best of all time" at their position. Peterson, Manning, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Calvin Johnson, etc. ..I mean the list goes on. That doesn't even include the possible legends in the making such as cornerback Richard Sherman (as annoying as he is), D-lineman J.J. Watts, and quarterbacks Luck, Griffin, and Wilson.<br />
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I just hope Chris Johnson of the Titans doesn't have a resurgent year. I hate that guy.<br />
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Lots of great storylines to watch. As Bart Scott says, "Can't Wait"!<br />
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Individually which guys are you most excited to see play this year?The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-32720861568049092672013-03-26T10:37:00.000-07:002013-03-26T10:37:20.294-07:00Lebron Hate Fading. Apocalypse Near. What happened to the Lebron Hate? Is it not possible to admire his skill and still hate him? <br /><br />
It is. I'm proof.<br /><br /> I saw an ESPN poll today that showed 48% of the country was rooting for the Heat to break the record of most consecutive victories.<br />
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What has this nation come to? We really are going to hell in a handbasket. Bunch of bandwagoners. Everybody's ready to crown Lebron the greatest ever before his career is half over. He may come to be what ESPN has decided he is now. But that day is not here yet.<br />
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Admire the skill. Lebron is a freak. <br />
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He's also still a douche.<br />
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For me the hate is still alive. Amen. <br />
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<br />The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-31485355401136876512013-01-21T12:43:00.000-08:002013-01-21T12:43:00.102-08:00NFL Conference Championship WeekendFascinating weekend. Two Harbough brothers now will be coaching in the Super Bowl against each other. That story will be played to death by midweek. On the other hand, you have to admit it's pretty amazing. I think I like the elder brother a bit more. Baltimore's John H. seems a bit more in control. Jim's a spaz at times. Are we still using "spaz" in the lexicon of today's language? I'm a child of the 80's so it seems appropriate. Anyway, you have to be impressed by the way the 49ers and Ravens have been coached the past couple of years. They are fairly disciplined and tough and when their players are on, they are a tough to beat. Joe Flacco was certainly "on" this past weekend. Ray Rice was solid, Kaepernick continues to impress, and the defenses for both squads bent at times but didn't break. I wouldn't have put either team in the Super Bowl at mid-season (hell, I didn't have the Ravens there as of yesterday morning) but they are the last two standing.... and good for them. I really thought the Packers, the Seahawks, Patriots, or the Broncos may end up in the big game but all made critical errors that sank their chances.<br />
I'm shocked with the play of Joe Flacco most of all. He has the most road playoff wins by a QB...ever. You would in no way say he's a better QB than Payton Manning, but it's absolutely legitimate to say he's been a better playoff QB than Manning. Even in Manning's Super Bowl year he wasn't at the top of his game. Flacco has a chance to further his reputation as a playoff warrior by taking down San Fran's secondary in a couple of weeks.<br />
I need to also say how shocked I am at the Patriots play yesterday. Brady looked, dare we say it, ...average. Does taking Gronkowski out of the lineup really make them attack that much less? The whole season they were relentless in their offensive approach, yet yesterday they were much less aggressive. Even Belichick who is normally a go for it kind of guy on 4th down, punted twice inside the Raven's 40 yard line. Belichick has taken heat for it when it hasn't worked in the past but in this case he should take some heat for not being more attacking. They punted at the Ravens 36 yard line! Either something was wrong with their kicker or something was wrong with Brady. Otherwise I can't explain why the Patriots were playing not to lose. That's not their "m.o" usually. Again, shocking to see what happened in Foxborro. <br />
<br />
I'm looking forward to the Super Bowl. I' don't have a dog in the fight so I'll just be rooting for a competitive offensive style game.The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-59735260974318047342013-01-18T09:09:00.000-08:002013-01-18T09:10:10.656-08:00Lies we Tell: Manti Teo and Lance Armstrong. I found it interesting that yesterday Lance Amstrong admits to doping and bullying others and yet he's bumped in the news by the Manti Te'o story. Check the headlines yesterday and today. Te'o is usually listed first and Armstrong second. I realize the news leaked earlier that Armstrong had doped but still the actual interview played yesterday. One guy told us lies either for 2 days, a few weeks, or at most a few months. The other guy told us lies for over a decade. And then he tried to obliterate anyone who challenged his lies.<br />
One guy had a fake girlfriend. The other guy had 7 fake Tour De France titles. I know the Armstrong story is still big.....but to be 2nd tier in the news to a dude who is most likely more dumb than he is complicit seems weird. The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-79435412753995034622013-01-13T17:37:00.000-08:002013-01-13T17:37:13.131-08:00NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round CrapOfer. A word to describe the fact that I was 0/4 with the teams I wanted to win this weekend in the NFL playoffs. Dammit. Teams that shouldn't be in the next round are there due to some silly plays and even screwier decision making. Seattle goes stupid in the first half and then can't defend the field in the last 30 seconds. Unless you're a Falcon fan can you honestly say that Atlanta is better than Seattle? I don't believe so. The Broncos could and should have done the same thing the Falcons did but instead chose the chicken route and take a knee with 30 seconds left. I know Manning had not been at his best and the conditions were icy cold. Still, show some balls and try to win the game! How do you know you even get the ball back in overtime? That's at least as risky as trying to win it with less than a minute left. <br /><br />
And can we agree that Payton Manning might be one of the greatest QBs of all time but that he's one of the worst big game QBs in playoff history? His game wasn't the worst I've seen out of him but I've watched a lot of Payton Manning playoff games, and the same pattern crops up: He's hurried by a well prepared defense and he never gets into a groove, usually leading to him throwing interceptions or fumbling. It's like a broken record. Why did I become such a fan of his? I should have gone to the dark side and become a Tom Brady fan. ooh. Slap my face for saying that. That reminds me, the Patriots win was the most predictable of all. They'll be in the Super Bowl again even though you should give the Ravens a puncher's chance since they probably should have beaten them last year in the playoffs. Still, ...do you trust Joe Flacco? Not me. <br /><br />
Hopefully the Pats will end up against a team that can beat them. Maybe that's the 49ers. They've done it before. I would rather have seen the Packers have the chance to destroy Atlanta and then play New England but to be honest the Pack probably would have lost to the Patriots. The 49ers may lose as well but we'd at least have hope going into the big game. You won't get that if it's Atlanta in the Super Bowl. <br /><br />
So a crappy weekend ends and I'm hoping for better results next week. My hope: San Fran over Atlanta and Baltimore over New England. My prediction: The Pats and 49ers in the Super Bowl. That will give us a couple of weeks to discuss who is smarter, Bellichick or Harbough. Awesome.The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-30814811970219637382013-01-07T22:04:00.002-08:002013-01-07T22:04:41.635-08:00We're in College Football HellIt doesn't get any worse than this. Alabama again. I hate that team. I hate that coach. I'm a hater at times but how can you like Alabama unless you're from Alabama? Let's face it, a playoff system can't come soon enough. Alabama may continue to win them even in the playoffs but at least they won't get gifted a berth in the championship game over other teams with the same number of losses just because of the initials of their conference. Roll Tide, right into Hell. And take your scum coach with you.The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-70660286579201643672012-12-27T10:15:00.002-08:002012-12-27T10:15:57.955-08:002013 Pro Bowl Rosters- Offensive Skill Positions--What They Got Right & Wrong<h2>
AFC </h2>
<br />
<b>QB:</b> <b>Brady and Manning</b> were fantastic this season (again...we are spoiled to have 2 of the greatest QBs ever playing the position right now)<b> </b>and their spots need no explanation. However, due to what Manning has done in terms of switching teams and coming back from an even more horrific injury than Brady had to deal with (knee), it needs to be said that Manning's year is the most impressive of all the quarterbacks in the league. The selection of<b> Schaub</b> for the Pro Bowl could be debated but it's not a serious debate. Roethlisberger, Dalton, Flacco, and Andrew Luck are probably the only serious contenders for this position yet none have guided their team to as good as a record and really have no better numbers than Schaub. Luck has lots of interceptions but is in the picture because of his late game heroics, the fact that he is a rookie standout, and the impressive job he has done of guiding a terrible team to a playoff spot. Even with the interceptions, Luck probably has the best reason to feel snubbed. Palmer and Rivers have decent numbers but many of those numbers have been compiled in garbage time or in games without much meaning. Each have made critical mistakes that have cost their teams multiple games.<br />
<b>Analysis: They got all 3 selections right. </b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>RB: </b>The only slam dunk in this conference is<b> Jamaal Charles</b>. If the Chiefs had a better team and if Adrian Peterson wasn't grabbing all the attention for coming back off injury with maybe the best year ever by a running back, Charles would be the story of the year at the position. He's probably going to end the year with over 1500 yards and with nearly a 5.5 yard per carry average His team has played from behind a lot and yet he still gets serious yards. <b>Arian Foster's </b>spot on the all star roster is hard to argue with due to his TD numbers (14) and his yardage (1300 +) yet I think his numbers are bloated due to a better offensive team that puts him close to the goal line a lot and the numerous carries he gets. He has around 80 more carries than Chris Johnson and over 100 more carries than C.J. Spiller and yet they each have around 1100 yards compared to Foster's 1300 or so. Steven Ridley has great numbers as well for the Patriots and Ray Rice had another solid year with similar numbers to Ridley, Johnson. Still, C.J. Spiller is the guy who stands out after Charles and I believe he was robbed of a justified position on this Pro Bowl Roster. He has similar numbers in yards to <b>Ray Rice</b> (who was selected) but he has a 6.5 yard per carry average with twice the number of 20+ yard runs and only 3 fewer TDs. It seems Rice got in on reputation this year rather than production. He was no slouch to be sure, but after Charles, Spiller was the most feared back in the AFC this year and deserves the spot. <br />
<b>Analysis: 2 out 3 ok, but Spiller was robbed. </b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>WR</b><br />
<b>Andre Johnson, A.J. Green, Reggie Wayne, and Wes Welker </b>are all worthy picks. Johnson and Green are "no question" all stars but you could make a case for Demaryius Thomas over Welker or Wayne. But how do you leave off the team the guy (Welker) who led the conference in receptions (110)? Well, you ask which player was more impressive this season out of Welker, Thomas, and Wayne. Thomas and Wayne answer the bell in that category. In comparison to Welker, Thomas and Wayne both had more yards, a higher yard per catch average and over 20+ catches of 20 yards or more. Welker had 11. Despite a stellar season again, Welker is only the 5th best receiver among this lot and should unfortunately be left off the roster.<br />
<b>Analysis: Switch Denver's Thomas for New England's Welker and all would be well. </b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>TE</b><br />
Brandon Myers, Dennis Pitta, Jermaine Gresham, and Owen Daniels all had solid years but the selections of<b> Rob Gronkowski and Heath Miller </b>are good ones. Gronkowski only played in 10 games and maybe that should disqualify him but despite that he had slightly overall better numbers than the other tight ends except Miller. Imagine what Gronk would have done with another 4 or 5 games on his resume.<br />
<b>Analysis: No arguments.</b><br />
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<h2>
NFC </h2>
<b>QB: </b>Yards apparently don't mean as much this year. Drew Brees, Mathew Stafford, and Tony Romo lead the conference in yardage but none were selected. And I think it's true that Brees and Stafford really didn't have great years despite the yardage. They played from behind a lot and in the case of Brees I think not having his coach around and having to make up for a terrible defense led to a down year for him personally. Many QBs would kill for his down year. 4700+ yards passing, 39 TDs, 62% completions. Those are great numbers. And yet I'll bet Brees wouldn't argue that<b> Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers, and Robert Griffin III </b>had better seasons. Ryan had 4,400+ yards and 31 TDs and a passer rating of 100. Granted, passer rating isn't always the best measure for QBs (see Andrew Luck) but check out who's at the top of the ratings each year and you'll notice most of the good QBs have high ratings. Rodgers has the highest rating this year with 106.2, with 3,900+ yards and 35 TDs. With teams that also did well, Rodgers and Ryan had great personal years. Griffin may be debatable for the Pro Bowl since Romo has led his team to the exact same record, has 7 more TDs than the rookie and 1,500 more yards passing. He does have more interceptions and a lower rating and it's really the excitement level that gives Griffin the edge. Romo and Griffin had comparable years in many ways but Griffin had the wow factor. In fact, rather than Romo it may be Russell Wilson that has more of an argument to challenge Griffin on the all-star roster. The Seattle rookie has done many of the things that Griffin has in terms of being new to the league and producing some great wins and memorable plays. Pete Carroll clearly made the right choice on his QB and Wilson may end up being the best rookie of the class down the road. It will be fun to watch what happens in the years to come.<br />
<b>Analysis: Good choices with Griffin slightly debatable. </b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>RB: Adrian Peterson </b>has me setting my DVR each week just so I can watch him. I could care less about the Vikings but I figure Peterson will do something awesome each week. He didn't disappoint. He has nearly 1,900 yards with a chance for over 2,000 and the possibility of breaking Dickerson's record in his last game. That tells you all you need to know. He has had one of the best years ever for a running back. His TDs are down (11) but that's the result of an offense that doesn't get him close to the goal line much. He has to do his damage from afar. And boy did he. He has a 6 yard per carry average and and his number of 20+ yard runs is amazing. He had 23 of these type of runs. C.J. Spiller was 2nd with 12. He had 11 more than anyone else!<br />
<b>Marshawn Lynch</b> is a no brainer for the Pro Bowl as well. He's 2nd in yardage to Peterson (nearly 1,500 yards) and he just runs through and around defenders. They call him the Beast and it fits.<br />
<b>Frank Gore</b> had a great year (1,100 yards, 4.8 yard per carry) but this is definitely a controversial pick. Alfred Morris had a fantastic rookie season with more yards than Gore (1,400+) and a yard per carry average that was similar (4.7). They both have 7 TDs and have been critical for the success of their team. Gore seems to get the nod due to experience and reputation. Even rookie Doug Martin has some better numbers (1,300+ yards, 9 TDs) and a respectable 4.5 yards per carry.<br />
Analysis: <b>Peterson and Lynch are obvious selections but Morris should get the call instead of Gore.</b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>WR: Calvin Johnson </b>is the best receiver in the league and is pretty much unstoppable. His numbers are ridiculous (1,800+ yards, 117 receptions). He has 39 receptions of over 20 yards. The next closest guy in the conference was Vincent Jackson with 23. If it wasn't for Megatron's year we would be talking about <b>Brandon Marshall </b>more (1,400+ yards, 11 TDs). Marshall is a great talent and if he has his head on straight (which he doesn't always have) he is one of the best in the business. Johnson and Marshall are easy to call for this roster but the next two selections of <b>Victor Cruz</b> (82 receptions, 1,040 yards, 9 TDs)<b> and Julio Jones</b> (76 receptions, 1,142 yards, 10 TDs) are more debatable. They had great years but Dez Bryant's season was better than both of these guys (88 receptions, 1,311 yards, 12 TDs). Next to Calvin Johnson, Bryant may be the most feared guy in the league when he's on. Even Roddy White has a better case than his teammate Julio Jones as White has more catches (87) and yards (1,309). Vincent Jackson also has a case here as he is 3rd in the conference with 1,300+ yards. He didn't have as many receptions (66) due to a more inept offense but when he caught them, he caught them deep (19.3 yards per catch....3 more yards than his closest competition).<br />
<b>Analysis: Johnson and Marshall are automatic but Cruz and Jones should be replaced with Dez Bryant and Roddy white. </b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>TE: Tony Gonzalez, Jason Witten, </b>and Jimmy Graham were the class of this conference. Witten had 103 receptions and over 900 yards. Gonzalez had over 800 yards and 88 catches. Jimmy Graham could make a case for the roster with nearly as many yards as Gonzalez and the same number of TDs (8) but he has about 10 receptions less. With nearly identical numbers to Gonzalez, Graham deserves consideration but not the nod. Tony Gonzalez has said he's done after this year. He's crazy. He should play at least a couple of years more and see if he can't get a ring.<br />
<b>Analysis: Good picks. </b><br />
<br />
<b>Overall:</b> Fun to debate the picks but the actual game is a joke and I won't be watching. A football all-star game doesn't work because to play it competitively and make it watchable you also create a game where the risk of injury is too great. Nobody wants to see Adrian re-injure his knee or Payton Manning end his career with another neck injury over a meaningless game. They should just do skill competitions and call it good.<br />
The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-47271630752057489262012-12-20T22:50:00.000-08:002012-12-20T22:50:01.979-08:00NFL Picks: Week 16<b>Falcons over the Lions</b><br />
It's hard to pick Detroit these days as they finish up an absolute trainwreck of a season. Way too much talent for the results they've put up. They've been undisciplined and unorganized and that's amcoaching issue as much as it is the player's fault. Silver lining in Calvin Johnson who may not be the TD machine he was last year but he's still the best receiver in the league. He might break Jerry Rice's total receiving yardage record, and even in the pass happy NFL of today that's a fantastic accomplishment.<br />
<br />
<b>Cowboys over the Saints</b><br />
The Saints are playing for pride now and won't lay down for anyone, But the Cowboys are still in the playoff hunt and that may give them the edge.<br />
<br />
<b>Packers over the Titans</b><br />
I love Randall Cobb's moves and James Jones' hands. They've played well enough that injuries to Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings haven't been as as painful as expected (at least to the team...because I'm sure the actual injuries sucked pretty bad for the players). If they can get all of these guys going at the same time they could be unstoppable.<br />
<br />
<b>Colts over the Chiefs</b><br />
Good test for Indy. Need to beat these types of teams. Handily.<br />
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<b>Dolphins over the Bills</b><br />
Middle of the road teams like this year after year in the AFC East are one of the reasons why the Patriots have no competition for the Division title....ever. The other reason would be Tom Brady.<br />
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<b>Chargers over the Jets</b><br />
If the Chargers can't beat the Jets with NY playing their 3rd string QB then they are truly hopeless. On second thought though, this 3rd stringer could easily have been the 1st team QB all year long. And who am I kidding, the Chargers, win or lose this week are definitely hopeless.<br />
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<b>Redskins over the Eagles</b><br />
Very impressed with Alfred Morris this year. The Redskin rookie RB has been solid and at times very good. I also like the backup running back for the Eagles (Brown), who if he can hang onto the ball a little better, deserves some playing time even when McCoy gets back<br />
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<b>Bengals over the Steelers</b><br />
Never count out Pittsburgh---but the better looking team this year is certainly in Cincy. <br />
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<b>Bucs over the Rams</b><br />
Jeff Fisher has brought some respectability back to the Rams. The problems is he brought that to the Titans for years as well.... in mostly 8-8 and 9-7 type seasons. He had decent and almost never great teams. I'm not sold on the idea of him bring St. Louis back all the way but anything is an improvement of where they were..<br />
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<b>Panthers over the Raiders</b><br />
As goes Cam, so go the Panthers.<br />
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<b>Patriots over the Jaguars</b><br />
The only question is will the Pats score 40 in the first half or will it take 3 quarters to get there.<br />
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<b>Texans over the Vikings</b><br />
Very tough test for Adrian Peterson. He's facing a good defense and a team who has a guy that's pretty good at running back too. Still, although Arian Foster is no slouch, if he wants to see true greatness rarely seen at his position, he just needs to spot number 28 in purple. In my opinion he's the best to play the position since Emmit Smith and Barry Sanders hung up their cleats.<br />
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<b>Broncos over the Browns</b><br />
Even though Denver took out Baltimore last week pretty handily I'm still not sure how good they are. Their schedule has been light on quality opponents so the guesswork goes on.<br />
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<b>Bears over the Cardinals</b><br />
Finally a team to make the Bears look good. Too bad Dennis Green isn't around any more to let us know that the Bears are who we thought they were. ....Frauds.<br />
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<b>Giants over the Ravens</b><br />
I might be giving NY too much credit here.<br />
<br />
<b>Seahawks over the 49ers</b><br />
Looks to be the best game of the day on paper. Who knew Seattle would be this big of a threat in the West this year. During the offseason we had expectations that Matt Flynn would be running the offense but rookie Russell Wilson grabbed the job by the throat and has never let go. Doug Flutie is smiling somewhere on behalf of all sub-six footers.<br />
<br />The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-82474931895651360372012-12-14T20:15:00.001-08:002012-12-14T20:15:30.069-08:00NFL Picks: Week 15<b>Bengals over the Eagles</b> '<br />
Foles and Brown have shown some flashes of brilliance in their backup roles for Vick and McCoy but Cincy is definitely the more complete team. Philly is just auditioning players for next year at this point (I'm still shocked they let Babin go), but the Bengals have the capability to do damage in the playoffs if they can get in.<br />
<br />
<b>Giants over the Falcons</b><br />
This may be knee jerk by me but after watching the Falcons the last six weeks I haven't been terribly impressed by this 11 win team. I'm not the only one either.<br />
<br />
<b>Rams over the Vikings</b><br />
I would love to see Adrian Peterson get 2,000 yards. He's grabbed back the title of best rusher in the game with a vengeance. The question is will their be any additional emphasis on stopping him by the Rams or future opponents? I can't imagine it would be much different than it's been all season, I mean it's not like you game plan around Christian Ponder. Peterson has been the focal point of defenses the entire season so maybe he's got chance at 2K.<br />
<br />
<b>Dolphins over the Jags</b><br />
Battle for Florida. Awesome.<br />
<br />
<b>Packers over the Bears</b><br />
What's up with Chicago? Has it really been over a month ago when they were cracking on Tennessee (scoring 50 plus points) and we were declaring them a championship threat. Now? Not so much. Still, we've seen early December woes before from teams that went on runs as they neared the playoffs. The Steelers 2005 championship season would be an example. They lost in weeks 11-13 but then reeled off 4 straight. Could it happen for the Bears? Sure. Will it? I doubt it.<br />
<br />
<b>Browns over the Redskins</b><br />
If Griffin plays will he be at his playmaking self? If he doesn't play can Cousins replicate his one play magic of last week? Perhaps I'm not giving the rest of the Skins enough credit here but the Browns are riding a 3 game winning streak and should not be taken lightly.<br />
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<b>Ravens over the Broncos</b><br />
This should be a good one. Manning has a lot of r<a href="http://www.denverpost.com/broncos/ci_22178184/broncos-peyton-manning-praises-ed-reed-ray-lewis">espect for Ed Reed </a>and the Ravens defense (even if they are less potent than in previous years).<br />
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<b>Texans over the Colts</b><br />
Andrew Luck's interceptions are going to hurt them eventually. Maybe this week. The Texans are going to want to get some credibility back after last week's beatdown by the Pats.<br />
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<b>Saints over the Bucs</b><br />
I don't know how much gas the Saints have left in them this season. They are slightly off in every category of football and it's cost them too many games. Brees has pride though and even if he's had an off season maybe some of that pride will still rub off.<br />
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<b>Lions over the Cardinals.</b><br />
Speaking of pride, do the Cardinals have a shred of it left after the debacle against Seattle? I probably won't tune in live to find out.<br />
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<b>Panthers over the Chargers</b><br />
Good thing I've been starting Cam Newton in my fantasy league the past few weeks. His Superman crap was wearing thin while he was blowing chunks with his play, but he's found a phone booth somewhere and found his cape.<br />
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<b>Seahawks over the Bills</b><br />
How about the play of that rookie on the Seahawks? Of course I'm talking about rookie linebacker Bobby Wagner out of Utah State. Doesn't get the publicity but he's been critical on that side of the ball.<br />
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<b>Cowboys over the Steelers</b><br />
I don't know how to read the Steelers. Their QB is coming off injury and they've looked flat on defense. Romo is a wildcard as usual so this game seems a toss up.<br />
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<b>Raiders over the Chiefs</b><br />
Imagine Jamaal Charles on a good team. He has a <b>career</b> 5.7 yard per carry average. Think about that.<br />
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<b>Patriots over the 49ers</b><br />
After a cupcake schedule to this point New England has finally hit some real meat. Their shelling of the Texans bodes well for them and ominous for the rest of us who would rather stick a fork in our eyes than see the Patriots go to the Super Bowl again. The 49ers may be the best in the NFC and this will be a good test for them prior to the playoff push.<br />
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<b>Titans over the Jets</b><br />
Monday night magic.The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-6537546028260089342012-12-01T23:28:00.000-08:002012-12-03T11:08:31.195-08:00NFL Picks: Week 13Two things before the picks for Sunday:<br />
.<br />
1. The Chiefs player who took his girlfriend's life as well as his own--was a coward. I realize that there are details to the story we don't know yet, however, NFL players talk a lot about courage. Real bravery is working through problems instead of shooting through them. <br />
<br />
2. I was determined not to watch the Alabama/Georgia game. So of course we went out to dinner as a family and tvs all over restaurant had it playing. We're in the West for hell's sake! Why is this place playing an SEC title game? I could understand if USC, BYU, Oregon, or Boise State were playing, but Alabama? Please. It was a Mexican restaurant not a sports bar and grill. I was forced to choke on my enchilada as evil triumphed again. I will never root for a college team harder than I will for Notre Dame come January.<br />
<br />
<b>Falcons over the Saints</b><br />
I thought Atlanta would win this but I didn't think the Saints would hand it to them like they did. A TD called back on a penalty. A TD pass dropped by a Saints receiver. Even with 5 picks this could have been a different game without those mistakes. The Falcons were talking trash after the previous game with the Saints. Now it's New Orlean's turn to complain that they just gifted a victory to Atlanta.<br />
<br />
<b>Jags over the Bills</b><br />
Who cares?<br />
<br />
<b>Bears over the Seahawks</b><br />
Injury bug hit Chicago the past few weeks but the hawks are less formidable when you get them outside of the Northwest.<br />
<br />
<b>49ers over the Rams</b><br />
I'm feeling terrible for Alex Smith. And Harbough has not handled his QB situation with anything remotely resembling tact. But it's the right decision. If there is any chance that this could be a situation like Brady replacing Bledsoe in New England you have to take it. Smith has a ceiling and we have a pretty good idea of the parameters of that ceiling. It's ridiculous to say there is no way he could win the Superbowl, especially with how good the team is, but it does seem Kaepernick brings something to the table that you just have to try. It looks too good not to try. You just hope it goes down smooth and doesn't end up with an aftertaste.<br />
<br />
<b>Pats over the Dolphins</b><br />
Have you looked at the Patriots scoring output this season? It's crazy good and reminds me of some previously good New England offensive teams. They're probably the best team in the AFC and maybe in the entire NFL. We won't know that for a bit though because they play the easiest damn schedule in the league (year after year) and their defense has been somewhat suspect.<br />
<br />
<b>Cardinals over the Jets</b><br />
What happened to gregarious Rex? Ryan just isn't as fun when the Jets suck.<br />
<br />
<b>Lions over the Colts</b><br />
Luck reminds me of Stafford in that sometimes the deep ball looks too enticing to both of them. This could be a good day for defensive backs. \<br />
<br />
<b>Packers over the Vikings</b><br />
Green Bay needs to regroup after last week's drubbing. Watch out for Peterson though, the Packer defense gave up the farm last week in the run game.<br />
<br />
<b>Texans over the Titans</b><br />
I'm tempted to go the other way on this just because Houston may overlook Tennessee. But no.<br />
<br />
<b>Panthers over the Chiefs</b><br />
K.C. will still be in shock and it's not like they'll want to play for the memory of their teammate. Or at least they shouldn't. Dude's a murderer.<br />
<br />
<b>Broncos over the Bucs</b><br />
Good test for Denver. Tampa is a plucky team. But Greg Shciano is still a douche.<br />
<br />
<b>Raiders over the Browns</b><br />
I'd like to think that Cleveland could take Oakland, but the Raiders have enough talent to win this easily if they eliminate the mistakes.<br />
<br />
<b>Bengals over the Chargers.</b><br />
Nor Turner. Dead man walking.<br />
<br />
<b>Ravens over the Steelers</b><br />
Get well soon Ben.<br />
<br />
<b>Cowboys over the Eagles</b><br />
Without McCoy or Vick I won't be watching.<br />
<br />
<b>Giants over the Reskins</b><br />
To me this is the game of the week. I will be watching this one. Griffin vs. the Giant defensive line. It's go time baby!The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-83533081477159138202012-11-22T09:04:00.001-08:002012-11-22T09:04:41.069-08:00NFL Picks: Week 12<b>Lions over the Texans</b><br />
The Texans are the better team but a little home cooking on Thanksgiving day should help the Lions.<br />
<br />
<b>Redskins over the Cowboys</b><br />
I'm looking forward to watching a couple of mobile QBs run around and fling the ball all over the place.<br />
<br />
<b>Patriots over the Jets.</b><br />
NY gave the Pats a close game back in October, and that was in New England. But I just can't see Brady and pals tested twice in one season by a team that has been so messy.<br />
<br />
<b>Vikings over the Bears</b><br />
I may be reading too much into the offensive ineptitude of the Bears this past week. But if I'm not then that means the Bears defense needs to score again. And certainly they are capable of that but it seems more likely that if the Bears can't score the Vikings may be able to win an ugly game. Maybe something like 10-7.<br />
<br />
<b>Bengals over the Raiders</b><br />
Did you see that amazing endzone grab by A.J. Green last week? Ridiculous. Cincinnati is the better team but Oakland still can be dangerous if Palmer limits his mistakes. Occasionally he flashes the talent that made him one of the best QBs in the league for a couple of years. Sadly for Oakland he'll never be that guy full time again. This will be a fun game to check out based on bad blood between Palmer and the Bengals. He hated the losing ways of the Bengals so he becomes a Raider. Sounds about right.<br />
<br />
<b>Steelers over the Browns</b><br />
It wouldn't surprise me at all to see the Steelers tough this one out and grab the win, even with their 3rd string QB Charlie Batch. I know Batch has moved around a bit but is it just me or does it seem like he's been a backup for the Steelers since the Jurassic age? <br />
<br />
<b>Colts over the Bills</b><br />
I've been watching Luck each week and wondering about his penchant for throwing the ball down the field. The pundits in ESPNland are correct that he does it pretty well for a rookie. But he does throw it into traffic a lot (thus the 12 interceptions already) and his completion percentage is lower than it probably should be for a guy that is as talented as him. The comparisons with the Redskin's Griffin will never end as long as they are both in the league and it's true that Griffin throws a lot of short passes (helping his completion percentage), however, Griffin throws a nice deep ball as well as great intermediate pass and if they asked him to do it more I think he might do it as well as or better than Luck. I love the idea of watching these guys for the next decade.<br />
<br />
<b>Broncos over the Chiefs</b><br />
McGahee's knee injury is a bummer for both him and the Broncos but this is Manning's show anyway so it shouldn't cripple their chances.<br />
<br />
<b>Seahawks over the Dolphins</b><br />
I've given up on Miami.<br />
<br />
<b>Falcons over the Bucs</b><br />
Tough one to pick since these guys usually have close games. The Bucs are a good team and even though Atlanta has only lost one game are we really sure they are a great team? This game will say a lot about that question.<br />
<br />
<b>Jags over the Titans</b><br />
Maybe the Jags are showing signs of life. Justin Blackmon finally broke out last week, something I've been waiting for all season. When he was playing at O.K. State, he was unstoppable. Where the hell has he been?<br />
<br />
<b>Ravens over the Chargers</b><br />
Phillip Rivers looks like he's in his late 30s rather than just barely turning 30. He's slow, his arm strength seems down, and he's not moving very well in the pocket. If this is the beginning of the end for him then I'd say we can close the book on the debate about whether or not it was the right move to draft him and push Drew Brees out in San Diego. I made up my mind about that long ago but Rivers has been just good enough over the last 6 years to at least make it an argument.<br />
<br />
<b>Cardinals over the Rams</b><br />
Even having Ram loyalties, I'm not planning to watch this one.<br />
<br />
<b>49ers over the Saints. </b><br />
Pretty incredible that Alex Smith can play as well as he has the past season and a half and yet he's replaced after one good game from his backup. Well, to be fair it was a great game by Kaepernick against pretty much the best defense in the league this year. And as efficient as Smith has been he doesn't throw for a lot of yards very often. That's partly because the team doesn't game plan for that but it's also due to Smith's willingness to show throw shorter passes if his downfield receivers aren't wide open. He doesn't want to risk interceptions and I can't say I blame him since he was bound to have a short leash if he played badly under Harbough. I think we can see that has played true since the leash was shorter than even expected even with Smith playing very well. It seems that Smith was in a tough spot--- if he took more risks and ended up with more incompletions and interceptions he would have been pulled, but if he played it safe then that ultimately would open the door to a guy like Kaepernick. I personally think Alex Smith has it in him to be a better deep passer, but the shackles need to come off. Smith himself needs to just go for it, and if he's pulled then so be it. At least he won't be yanked for not trying to be a more dynamic passer. Some might say, Alex should just be who he is (ie. game manager) and don't try to change that. I think he can be more than that. Having said that, I see why Harbough wants to check out the young kid at QB. Last week he looked like RG3, Aaron Rodgers, and Payton Manning all rolled up into one 49er holiday snowball. For San Fran's sake they better hope it doesn't melt.<br />
<br />
<b>Giants over the Packers</b><br />
Seems counter intuitive right? The Packers are playing well and NY is struggling. Each week though the NFL teaches us that the league is unpredictable. It's not that hard to see the Giants starting to kick it into gear again.<br />
<br />
<b>Panthers over the Eagles</b><br />
It's starting to look like Philly is giving up now. That may lead to Andy Reid being fired before the season is out. When you aren't competitive, even in your effort, then the time has come.The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-78560927344163691012012-11-17T14:55:00.000-08:002012-11-17T14:55:11.433-08:00NFL Picks: Week 11<b>Dolphins over the Bills</b><br />
Got this one wrong. I thought Miami had a little more offensive punch than what they've shown the past couple of weeks.<br />
<br />
<b>Falcons over the Cardinals</b><br />
It's hard to see an inconsistent Arizona team being able to beat one of the best teams in the league at their own place.<br />
<br />
<b>Cowboys over the Browns</b><br />
If Dallas loses this one Jerry Jones may actually hire fire himself as general manager. Then he would hire Jerry Jones as the new G.M. because Jerry knows best.<br />
<br />
<b>Packers over the Lions</b><br />
Could be a pretty good game. I know Calvin Johnson is not the TD machine he was last year but he still catches a lot of balls and Detroit is plenty dangerous.<br />
<br />
<b>Bengals over the Chiefs</b><br />I'm running out adjectives to describe A.J. Green. I'd watch the Bengals just to see him catch balls. Dalton's not bad but if Green had a top 5 QB, his numbers would be ridiculous.<br />
<br />
<b>Redskins over the Eagles.</b><br />
Count me as one who doesn't believe in the rookie QB for the Eagles.<br />
<br />
<b>Bucs over the Panthers</b><br />
After losing 3 of their first 4 games, Tampa has won 4 of their last 5. Their offense looks good and the rookie Doug Martin has been a big part of that. On the other hand, Cam Newton continues to underwhelm us.<br />
<br />
<b>Texans over the Jags</b><br />
Perhaps the best team in the league against perhaps the worst team in the league. Although K.C. may have bone to pick with Jacksonville about that.<br />
<br /><b>Rams over the Jets</b><br />
Danny Amendola is back and Bradford couldn't be happier. Could the Rams actually be dangerous again?Might be too much to ask for. It would be nice to see them beat the Jets though. The weekly comedy show that has become NY Jet football is priceless.<br />
<br />
<b>Saints over the Raiders</b><br />
This might be a bit of a stretch. The Raiders will be at home and the Saints still have no defense. But I would love to see the Saints continue to make people nervous.<br />
<br />
<b>Broncos over the Chargers</b><br />
The Chargers used to give Payton Manning fits when he was with the Colts. He better hope that bit of history doesn't follow him to Denver.<br /><br /><b>Patriots over the Colts</b><br />
The Luck story has been fun but Indy is visiting Tom Brady's house and that means another victory for the Pats.<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Ravens over the Steelers</b><br />
Leftwich at QB means the Steelers aren't favored at home.<br />
<br />
<b>Bears over the 49ers</b><br />
I'm giving the Niners the edge in this one as well due to a backup QB. Jason Campbell is ok but in what looks to be a tight defensive battle, San Fran should have the edge.<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b><br /></b>The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-14137760397256617272012-11-02T15:35:00.001-07:002012-11-02T15:35:39.860-07:00NFL Picks: Week 9<b>Chargers over the Chiefs. </b><br />
I got this one right, but truly I just flipped a coin. They both looked so bad the previous week I couldn't imagine either one winning.<br />
<br />
<b>Broncos over the Bengals.</b><br />
I'm not sold on the Broncos despite Manning playing well. They've beat up on bad teams and lost to good teams. And remember Cincy has A.J. Green who sometimes just pulls "amazing" out of his butt. However, the Bengals have not shown enough juice yet to go against Manning's hot hand.<br />
<br />
<b>Ravens over the Browns. </b><br />
Baltimore better win big or the doubters come back to harp on Flacco. ......by the way, I'm a Flacco doubter. Sorry Joe. It's ok if you prove me wrong. I won't take it personally. <br />
<br />
<b>Packers over the Cardinals. </b><br />
With the early slip-ups in the season, Green Bay can't afford to take the Cardinals lightly.<br />
<br />
<b>Bears over the Titans.</b><br />
When the Bears defense is tough why do we glamorize them more than other equally tough defenses? It's got to be the history right? Butkus, 86 Bear defense, etc. Will later Raven defenses' get the same nod when they're good since they have a solid decade or more now with a defensive reputation?<br />
<br />
<b>Colts over the Dolphins</b><br />
The Miami defense may give Luck problems but the Colts are at home and Tannehill will either be sidelined or playing hurt.<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Redskins over the Panthers.</b><br />
Insert your favorite Cam Newton/Robert Griffin comparison here. Leaving body shape and skin color aside (which they are unalike and alike), there are some valid comparisons. Both can run well, and both have strong arms. Both can be exciting. But that may be where it ends. Griffin seems more mature and has some nice accurate touches to his thrown balls. Cam seems to be forcing a lot of throws and while he wasn't wildly accurate last season (60% with 17 interceptions) he seemed to have a better feel for when and where to throw the ball. Newton needs his runners to help him. Why have two highly paid running backs on your team if you won't run the ball? Of course that has to be established early because if you get behind too much, it's stupid to insist the Panthers should be running. They have to throw to stay in the game or attempt to come back on teams. Still, Newton's first and second half passer ratings this season are nearly identical (75.7 and 74.7)...which is to say they both suck. He's not paying well in the beginning or the end of games. Carolina's defense gives up too much and their offense is mistake prone. I don't see it getting fixed this week. <br />
<br />
<b>Lions over the Jaguars.</b><br />
Sounds like a National Geographic Channel program. Detroit better hope Calvin Johnson rediscovers his inner beast.<br />
<br />
<b>Texans over the Bills.</b><br />
Never say never, but this one seems over before it starts. <br />
<br />
<b>Seahawks over the Vikings.</b><br />
Minnesota is going the wrong way and Seattle is always a tough road game. <br />
<br />
<b>Bucs over the Raiders.</b><br />
I need Mike Williams to score TDs for me this week in fantasy. I feel like one of those guys in the NFL commercials where people in their homes or offices talk to players in their NFL settings. Speak to me Mike. Speak to me. I need your focus this week. Okay? Thanks. I'm glad we had this talk. <br />
<br />
<b>Steelers over the Giants.</b><br />
Hard to pick against the Giants in NY. Especially with the emotional tie in from the storm. The Steelers won't be sentimental when the game starts though. <br />
<br />
<b>Falcons over the Cowboys.</b><br />
Major upset if Dallas could pull this off. But I don't see it happening. Atlanta has been impressive. I'm not totally sold yet but the body of work so far is compelling if not convincing. <br />
<br />
<b>Saints over the Eagles. </b><br />
Last game for Vick as a Eagle starter? That alone warrants a spot on the dvr for the night. The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-36031088031482351742012-10-30T21:30:00.000-07:002012-10-30T21:30:10.813-07:00I Hate the Heat.So the Heat are raising the championship banner and putting their rings on as they get ready to roll through the weak Eastern Conference this year. Yay. I simply hate this team. <br />Used to love Dwyane Wade. Hate him now. <br /> Didn't care about Chris Bosh before. Hate him now. <br />Hated LeBron before. Really hate him now.<br />. My Miami Heat hate is 100 times stronger than my New England Patriots hate. And that's saying something. LeBron seems like many athletes and like most of us at home,.....namely, he has some positive and some negative personal traits. He's not Terrell Owens, Barry Bonds, Jeff George, Alex Rodriguez, or Tony Stewart. In other words LeBron's not a dick most of the time. I still can't stand him. <br />It's not logical or rational. It's hate.The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-25808141638458971082012-10-26T23:39:00.002-07:002012-10-26T23:39:47.235-07:00NFL Picks: Week 8<br />
<ul>
<li><b>Vikings over the Bucs. </b> <br />Unfortunately I was still buying into the Vikings (at least at home) when I picked this game<br />. </li>
<li><b>Bears over the Panthers.</b> <br />My fantasy team would love to see Cam Newton have a great day. I'm not holding my breath.<br /></li>
<li><b>Chargers over the Browns. <br /> </b>Cleveland's first win was nice and they want another. Phillip Rivers and Norv Turner might just be accommodating enough. However, my guess is the bi-polar Chargers might show up this week.<br /></li>
<li><b>Seahawks over the Lions. </b><br />The Seattle pass-rush should give Stafford fits. He'll need to get rid of it quick and locate Calvin Johnson. But lets be real here; the Lions are a mess. I'm convinced they are badly coached and will be better if/when Schwartz is gone.<br /></li>
<li><b>Patriots over the Rams</b>.<br />So a football game again in London. American football that is. Bloody brilliant. The Brits have it right that their game is properly named football and our game is the most mis-named sport in history. Of course the name is rooted in the murky origins of the game and its links to British rugby.....which was originally linked to British football (soccer). If only our gridiron forbearers could have thought up a name that was cool enough and distinct enough so that it didn't confuse the hell out of foreign sports brothers. Then again, should we care what the Brits and others think? This game is uniquely American and I don't think we will ever export the interest in it in any great numbers. Still I'm curious as to the level of interest (however small) that the Brits (or Europeans in general) have in our game. If they're smart, our English cousins will bet on the Pats for this game.<br /></li>
<li><b>Jets over the Dolphins</b><br />I would love to see Reggie Bush run on the Jets Defense. Interesting that the Jets are upset with him for running his mouth. Pot, meet kettle.<br /></li>
<li><b>Eagles over the Falcons</b><br />Crazy, right? I don't know if Michael Vick has any magic left. He might be a "has been" at this point but the Falcons will lose at some point this season and it would be a little weird if Vick was the one that helped hand them that loss.<br /></li>
<li><b>Steelers over the Redskins. </b><br /> The Steelers need this game and perhaps desperation will breed good play. Rothlisberger will need to shake off a few guys like he has been known to do a time or two. The Steelers will need to control Griffin better than the Giants did last week. I like the accuracy of Griffin and he is quickly becoming an automatic record on my dvr. Not too many guys get that spot if they're on a team I don't like. But like Vick in the mid 2000s, Griffin does amazing things with his legs and arm. However, Griffin is more accurate and has some touch. Vick, even at his best, always had the arm but lacked the touch that could keep drives going. Comparing Vick and Griffin is less about comparing black QBs and more about comparing mobile QBs with strong arms. Comparing guys based on skin color is lazy. If Aaron Rodgers ran more (which he could if he wanted to) we could throw him into the conversation with Griffin, Vick and Cam Newton. Andrew Luck is showing some athletic ability as well. However, Vick, Newton and Griffin are the only QBs with over 200 rushing yards this season. It's not about race, it's about stats. Anyway, Griffin has the wow factor so he'll be on the record list for awhile.<br /></li>
<li><b>Packers over the Jaguars</b><br />Jags are without Jones-Drew as well as their QB Gabbert and added to that is the fact that Rodgers is looking more like his 2011 self. Shouldn't be close.<br /></li>
<li><b>Colts over the Titans</b><br />Titans run game has woken up. Chris Johnson is alive! Still, I don't trust him yet. I like the Colts in this game though even though I think they'll give up some rushing yards.<br /></li>
<li><b>Chiefs over the Raiders. </b><br />Always an interesting game between these two old rivals. But probably a bit hard to watch. This game is not on my to-do list on Sunday.<br /></li>
<li><b>Giants over the Cowboys. </b><br />There are no guarantees with this game no matter how much better one team is compared to the other. And make no mistake, the Giants are a much better team here despite the early season loss they took against the Cowboys.<br /></li>
<li><b>Saints over the Broncos</b><br />I'm thinking shootout. The Broncos defense is better but the Saints are still playing for their lives. I don't think they'll have 9 lives but maybe they get lucky a couple more times.<br /></li>
<li><b>49ers over the Cardinals. </b><br />Alex Smith has a had a couple of sub-par offensive games and everybody's ready to throw him under the bus again. He's not turning into Aaron Rodgers (ever) but with a good defense and a good running game he's still a valuable QB. I don't know if he can be a championship QB but San Fran is still ok and it's not time to start burning Smith in effigy. Actually it's never time to do that. I mean they only do that kind of thing at Raider games right? </li>
</ul>
<div>
<br /></div>
The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-9364038545876973222012-10-18T10:10:00.000-07:002012-10-18T10:10:11.558-07:00NFL Picks: Week 7<b>49ers over the Seahawks: </b><br />
Great work by Seattle to take down New England last week. I was mildly shocked. I'm not sure how sold I am on Wilson at QB but that defense has been beastly so far and you have to give the Seattle brass and coaching staff some credit for assembling the parts. Bobby Wagner, from my alma mater Utah State, has been awesome so far at linebacker. Alex Smith should keep his head on a swivel on Thursday night.<br />
<br />
<b>Bills over the Titans</b>.<br />
Inconsistency is the word to describe these two teams.<br />
<br />
<b>Giants over the Redskins</b><br />
a marquee matchup with Griffin coming to NY. Can the Giant's defensive line keep him contained? They have a better shot at accomplishing the feat than most.<br />
<br />
<b>Saints over the Bucs</b><br />
With no defense, the question for New Orleans is can their offense be powerful enough to outscore the other guys? So far it's been "iffy" but I'll roll the dice one more time with them. And one thought on the Bounty scandal that has helped de-rail the Saint's season so far: own up to your mistakes and move on! I'm tired of Saints players using the classic strategy of creating another story so their own guilt is not the story. They are using the incompetence of how Goodell has handled the situation to move the focus away from what they did. Vilma and others on the team contributed to a culture and climate of removing players from the field through injury. Period. Watch the playoff game with the Vikings when Favre was QB. I was not even rooting for the Vikes that day and I was shocked at how often they were targeting him after he threw the ball. It was completely ridiculous but not all that shocking. Other teams may have been doing this for years as well. But we know the Saints did. Stop with the whining about Roger Goodell. You did it. Take your medicine<br />
<br />
<b>Panthers over the Cowboys. </b><br />
Dallas is as much of a soap opera as the tv show by the same name that was famous for years. So is Tony Romo Bobby Ewing? Jerry Jones reminds me of JR Ewing in the creepy department.<br />
Dez Bryant got ripped last week for missing a catch on a two point conversion but he actually had a pretty decent day. He's in no-win territory right now. He can never do enough to justify the headache he is for the team.<br />
<br />
<b>Ravens over the Texans. </b><br />
Now that their defense has taken a few key injuries (Webb, Lewis, etc.) Baltimore is going to go into the "no one believes in us" mode and perhaps this will provide a mild upset with the Texans who are at home.<br />
<br />
<b>Colts over the Browns. </b><br />
This one is close though I think. Despite one of the worst QB games ever played in his first NFL start, Brandon Wheedon has been respectable since then and the Browns have been competitive.<br />
<br />
<b>Packers over the Rams.</b><br />
It was fun to watch Green Bay last week. The Packers, when "on" offensively, cannot be beat.<br />
<br />
<b>Vikings over the Cardinals. </b><br />
No idea what to think of these guys. Are they good or not?<br />
<br />
<b>Patriots over the Jets</b><br />
This used to be a scary game for the Patriots. Not anymore. The Pats hurry up offense should destroy the Jets defense. Don't let the 3 losses fool you. This is still quite possibly the best team in the AFC.<br />
<br />
<b>Raiders over the Jags.</b><br />
Most disappointing player this season to date might be Darren McFadden. He's healthy and yet he's 24th in the league in rushing yards (271), and 41st in yards per attempt (3.2). I did not see that coming. Is it his offensive line? Or is he just that bad this season? A victory here is probably going to depend on their defense and Carson Palmer.<br />
<br />
<b>Steelers over the Bengals.</b><br />
I think these guys are pretty evenly matched but the desperation factor might be more of an incentive for the Steelers who at 2-3 need to win to give them any hope in their division.<br />
<br />
<b>Bears over the Lions</b><br />
The Chicago D has their swagger back and if Jay Cutler doesn't implode they should be able to take down Detroit (who even with a victory last week, have been their own worst enemy).<br />
<br />
<br />
<b>Last Week</b>: 7-6<br />
<b>Overall:</b> 46-43<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-83000050450422547302012-10-14T09:24:00.001-07:002012-10-14T09:24:04.215-07:00NFL Picks: Week 6No time for thoughts on these games. Here's the picks for the week<br />
<br />
<b>Steelers over the Titans</b><br />
<b>Falcons over the Raiders</b><br />
<b>Bengals over the Browns</b><br />
<b>Dolphins over the Rams</b><br />
<b>Colts over the Jets</b><br />
<b>Lions over the Eagles</b><br />
<b>Buccaneers over the Chiefs</b><br />
<b>Ravens over the Cowboys</b><br />
<b>Patriots over the Seahawks</b><br />
<b>Cardinals over the Bills</b><br />
<b>49ers over the Giants</b><br />
<b>Redskins over the Vikings</b><br />
<b>Packers over the Texans</b><br />
<br />
Last week:8-6<br />Overall: 39-37The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-21772970589497938092012-10-05T19:29:00.002-07:002012-10-05T19:29:59.080-07:00NFL Picks: Week 5<br />
Some good games on tap for the weekend:<br />
<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Cardinals over the Rams (Thurs). </b>St. Louis surprised me. Maybe they'll be better than I thought. I'm not holding my breath. though. I did pick up the rookie Ram kicker for my fantasy league. Kid's got a leg.<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Bengals over the Dolphins. </b>I've been overlooking the Bengals for several years now. Consider yourself respected Cincy.<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Packers over the Colts. </b>Even without Greg Jennings, G.B has enough WR talent that Rodgers shouldn't have to look hard to find a receiver open. <br />
<br />
<b>Ravens over the Chiefs.</b> I finally watched the Ray Lewis doc "a Football Life" on the NFL channel. Watching it, you get a sense of how he's still playing quality LB in the NFL at his age and how he has dominated for so long. He's obsessed. Most of the great ones are. They don't let up. Ever. Outside of football, Ray Lewis would drive me nuts.<br />
<br />
<b>Redskins over the Falcons. </b>A mild upset watch. Rookie QB and rookie RB...and both are good. Morris is a seriously under the radar quality RB this season. If he keeps it up we'll be hearing more about him. .and soon.<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Giants over the Browns. </b>Browns are scrappy this year but they don't have enough talent.<br />
<br />
<b>Steelers over the Eagles</b>. Philly can't sustain the success if they don't play better offensively.<br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Panthers over the Seahawks. </b>Time for Cam "baby" Newton to grow up and play up to the talent level he has.<br />
<br />
<b>Bears over the Jags</b>. This Chicago defense devours QBs. Shouldn't be pretty for Blaine Gabbert.<br />
<br />
<b>Titans over the Vikings.</b> I'm not sold on Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Titan's Matt Hasselbeck has something left doesn't he? I mean, hair... no. But his arm is still solid. Right.? Perhaps I should rethink this.<br />
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<b>Patriots over the Broncos.</b> This smells like a blowout. Belichick has to be looking at the weak arm of Manning and planning all kinds of ways to jump those routs. Pick Six could be a theme.<br />
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<b>49ers over the Bills. </b> Despite the loss on their resume already, San Fran is still a top team. Shockingly, Buffalo is not.<br />
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<b>Saints over the Chargers.</b> Make the bleeding stop Drew Brees. Please.<br />
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<b>Texans over the Jets. </b>Sanchez, Tebow, Sanchez, Tebow. Enie, menie, miny, moe, please don't pick mr. Tebow. ...Wow that sucked. I promise to never do that again.<br />
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<b>Last week:</b> 9-6<br />
<b>Overall:</b> 31-31 (50%)The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-36606786682908830802012-09-27T14:58:00.000-07:002012-09-28T10:15:03.484-07:00NFL Picks Week 4<b>Picks for the week: </b><br />
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Will this be the first time referees are actually cheered? (at least until the first call goes against Baltimore)<br />
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<b>Ravens over the Browns. </b>Congrats to Baltimore for taking down the Patriots last week. Coulda, Shoulda, Woulda, last season in the playoffs. Though 2011 is not truly avenged until you can take them out in the postseason. Then I'l be ready to bow to my Joe Flacco Bobblehead. (wait....I have a Flacco bobblehead?. How did that happen?). <br />
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<b>Falcons over the Panthers</b>. I have seen nothing so far this season out of Cam Newton and the Panthers to make me want to pick them in this game. Atlanta looks good.<br />
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<b>Patriots over the Bills. </b> This game is usually an automatic win on their schedule every season. Of course The Pats have already lost a couple that I thought they would win. A weird season so far.<br />
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<b>Lions over the Vikings</b>. Minnesota has looked more consistent and steady than the Lions have. Discipline and consistency has plagued this team for a bit now. Schwarz better right that ship or they'll be starting to talk problems at the top soon. This team has too much talent to be wasting it.<br />
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<b>Chiefs over the Chargers. </b>One of my favorite running backs in the league, Jamaal Charles, had a breakout game last week. Give this guy a crease and he can exploit it fast.<br />
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<b>Seahawks over the Rams. </b> Imagine if somehow a wildcard playoff spot came down to the last week between Seattle and Green Bay, and because of the win last week the Seahawks grabbed that spot. This ref debacle is not over yet due to the implications down the road.<br />
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<b>49ers over the Jets.</b> San Fran was great last year on the road on the East Coast. I think they do it again. The Jets are a mess (what's new huh?).<br />
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<b>Texans over the Titans.</b> Last week Tennessee was part of one of the more interesting games of the season (maybe of the decade so far). Crazy plays over 50-60 yards won it for them but that's not sustainable so they are going to need to show that they can grind it out down the field as well. Tough opponent to do that with this week.<br />
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<b>Bengals over the Jags</b>. A.J. Green is a beast.<br />
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<b>Dolphins over the Cardinals.</b> Upset of the week. Seems weird to say that about the Cardinals.<br />
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<b>Broncos over the Raiders.</b> Rivalry game that's lost its fire since Al Davis has died. His son seems a lot more level headed.<br />
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<b>Packers over the Saints</b>. This game blows. I like both of these teams and don't want either one to fall into a hole they can't climb out of for the season. Who do I root for? I think that hole gets deeper for the Saints.<br />
One note on the call from Monday night's game. Although it was a bad call, it wasn't the worst call of all time in terms of the play itself. What made it egregious was the terrible timing. The point in the game that it happened (deciding the outcome) and the culmination of bad calls from replacement referees gave the call and aftermath an apocalyptic feeling. And ultimately it gave us regular referees back a week or two earlier (or maybe more). But the call sucked.<br />
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<b>Bucs over the Redskins. </b> Not sure what to think of either of these teams. Talented yes. Trustworthy no.<br />
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<b>Giants over the Eagles. </b>If I'm Michael Vick, I'm already hurting as I think about the hits I'll take in this game.<br />
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<b>Bears over the Cowboys.</b> These two teams (perhaps more than any other two) represent the Jeckyll and Hyde syndrome that some many franchises suffer from. I like Tony Romo and I dislike Jay Cutler so I hope this one goes different than my prediction.<br />
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What are we going to whine about this weekend without the replacement referees?.....Oh right.....we'll whine about the real referees.<br />
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<b>Last Week: </b>6-9<br />
<b>Overall:</b> 22-25 (47%)The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17157373.post-37194118438348996882012-09-22T10:24:00.000-07:002012-09-22T10:24:23.113-07:00NFL Picks: Week 3<br />
<b><br /></b><b><u>WEEK 3 PICKS</u></b><br />
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<b>Bears over the Rams</b><br />
Chicago is feeling pretty good about themselves this week after getting Michael Bush in the off-season as another option in the backfield. Forte is injury prone and as much as he resented the Bush signing and the touches Bush will take from him, it was a good move for the Bears. I like Bush; he runs hard and is shiftier than you might think.<br />
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<b>Browns over the Bills</b><br />
I was impressed by Brandon Wheedon's ability to bounce back from a dreadful first start in week 1. He was more than respectable, he was actually pretty good. However, Trent Richardson was more than pretty good; he was awesome and gives Brown fans hope that they've got a star in the backfield. Hope those knees of his are ok.<br />
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<b>Cowboys over the Bucs</b><br />
Which Cowboy team shows up?<br />
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<b>Jets over the Dolphins</b><br />
We don't really have any idea after 2 weeks if these teams are actually any good. They look like probable 7-9 or 6-10 teams. It was nice to see Reggie Bush flash some old moves this past week. Maybe he's right and he just needed the chance and the right situation to thrive.<br />
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<b>49ers over the Vikings</b><br />
San Fran looks like the team to beat early on.<br />
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<b>Saints over the Chiefs</b><br />
What's that odor? ...oh yeah ...that's desperation in the air. <br />
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<b>Bengals over the Redskins</b><br />
They're in D.C. this week and everyone loves Griffin, but maybe Andy Dalton shows last year wasn't a total fluke.<br />
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<b>Lions over the Titans</b><br />
I just want Chris Johnson to shut up.<br />
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<b>Colts over the Jags</b><br />
Where was rookie receiver Blackmon last week? They need to target those insanely huge hands of his.<br />
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<b>Eagles over the Cardinals</b><br />
Am I crazy to think that the Eagles can't play much worse than they have the past two weeks? They don't have to give back their ugly wins. But they should.<br />
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<b>Falcons over the Chargers</b><br />
Norv Turner is 2 and 0 to start the season. Is the apocalypse next?<br />
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<b>Texans over the Broncos</b><br />
Took us only a week to declare Manning old and armless. Should be a roller coaster with him this season as he tries to get the old magic back. I've been watching Manning closely for many years and the criticism of his arm strength and inability to throw effectively past 15-20 yards is a valid one. However, the deep pass has not been his strength for awhile now. His previous two seasons before the injury the Colt offense was essentially a grind it out down the field type team. Albeit that grinding was with 5 yard receiver screens, 10 yard outs, and 15 yard slants instead of a running game, but to rip on Manning for not throwing the deep ball well is to misunderstand where he is as a QB in his career. Yes the neck injury has robbed him of arm strength but I think he would have been done throwing deep effectively regardless. Don't count him out though. Manning will figure out what he can and can't do soon enough and there will be an adjustment. He'll want to do what works. If that's 10 yard hooks then so be it.<br />
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<b>Steelers over the Raiders</b><br />
Biggest surprise of the season for me so far: An ineffective Darren McFadden. He's not injured is he? Because that wouldn't be a surprise.<br />
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<b>Patriots over the Ravens</b><br />
What a pleasant gift it was to see the Cardinals take down the Pats at home last week. How the hell did that happen? In this game it will be the QB who says he's the best in the game (Flacco) against the QB who could legitimately make that claim.<br />
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<b>Packers over the Seahawks</b><br />
I did like how the Pack got Cedric Benson involved last week but it's definitely time for some Green Bay explosiveness don't you think? Nobody throws a prettier deep ball than Aaron Rodgers.<br />
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<b>Last Week</b>: 10-6<br />
<b>Overall: </b>16-16 (.500)The Armchair Quarterbackhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16662260665770330419noreply@blogger.com0